Bitcoin‘s traditional four-year cycle, where price bottoms occur 770-900 days after halvings, is showing signs of change. This cycle, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high before the halving, diverging from past patterns. Institutional inflows via spot ETFs and larger market capitalization have shifted Bitcoin’s price dynamics, making it more tied to macroeconomic liquidity than halving supply shocks. Some analysts suggest the cycle is compressing, with bottoms and tops occurring closer together, potentially altering future timing rather than ending the cycle altogether. Investors are now watching macro indicators and upcoming months to see if this new pattern holds.
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